Two friends, Colin and Rose
are arrested for shoplifting together.
They each hire lawyers to represent them, and each is separately
interviewed by the police.
Colin and Rose are told the
following:
·
Because Colin has a
prior record, and because a witness saw him shoplift one item, even if neither
Rose nor Colin “tells all”, Colin’s sure to get at least a
sentence of 3 months. In all
likelihood, Rose would go free in that case, as she has no
“priors”.
·
If Colin gives a full
confession (including Rose’s involvement) before Rose does, he will be
given probation for his cooperation.
In that case, Rose will get 6 months in prison.
·
If it should happen that
these interviews end with both Colin and Rose confessing, then Colin will get 6
months, while Rose (due to her clean record) will get 3 months.
·
If Rose “tells
all” before Colin does (including agreeing to testify to Colin’s
involvement), she will go free on probation, while Colin will get 9 months in
prison.
Get into groups of two.
1. Decide how Rose is likely to rank the four possible
outcomes. (1=worst, 4=best). Then decide how Colin is likely to rank
the four possible outcomes.
Combine these rankings into a 2x2 matrix as we saw Monday.
2. One of you pretend to be Rose while another is
Colin. Simultaneously choose which
strategy you would choose to follow (confessing everything or staying
silent). Record the outcome you end
up with, and how you each ranked that outcome. Repeat this 5-10 times, adjusting your strategy as you see
fit.